Bitcoin has finally delivered the technical signal traders have been waiting for. Its 50-day exponential moving average has moved above the 200-day average, creating the first golden cross since May 2025.
BTC, however, remains below $80,000 after falling to around $76,800 on September 11.
Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin’s latest golden cross arrived after a 34% rally from July.
- BTC faces resistance around $80,000, $83,000 to $84,000 and $90,000.
- Historical golden crosses since 2020 produced an average 37.7% 90-day gain.
- The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is approaching 5%, while Fed hike expectations have jumped.
RECENTLY UPDATED: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2026 2027 2028 – 2030
Bitcoin’s Golden Cross Points To Stronger Momentum
The golden cross points to improving medium-term momentum. Four comparable signals since March 2020 produced 90-day gains of 44.34%, 37.12%, 11.15% and 58.01%, according to recent market analysis. This gives an average gain of 37.7%.
A similar move from current levels would put Bitcoin around $106,500. But BTC first needs to reclaim $80,000, then break the $83,000 to $84,000 resistance zone.
Rising Yields Create a Major Bitcoin Risk
The problem many traders are missing sits in the bond market. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.9915% on September 11, close to a three-year high.
August CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year, lifting market expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed hike to 85%.
Higher yields can pressure speculative assets by making bonds more attractive and tightening financial conditions. This puts Bitcoin’s technical recovery against a tougher macro backdrop.
ALSO READ: 23 Cryptocurrency Price Predictions for 2026: Bitcoin, Ethereum & Altcoin Forecasts
Conclusion
The golden cross gives Bitcoin bulls a strong technical signal, but resistance levels and Treasury yields now provide the real test.
If you want to keep tabs on Bitcoin’s next major move, InvestingHaven’s blockchain premium research will give you deeper valuation insights, forecasts and market signals to help you stay ahead of the market.
That said, the signal is bullish, but Bitcoin needs confirmation from price and the wider market before the rally can gain stronger footing.
