Bitcoin Seasonality Charts: Buy The Dip Underway?

The best month of the year for Bitcoin (BTC) is February. Is a 'buy the dip' in BTC underway?

bitcoin seasonality charts

Bitcoin price seasonality chart analysis suggests recurring patterns since 10 years. In this post, you’ll find easy Bitcoin seasonality charts, with clear take-aways.

RELATED – Bitcoin price prediction 2025

With $BTC being notorious for its ups and downs, knowing when the market typically shines (or slumps) could give you a serious edge.

From price surges to potential dips, Bitcoin’s seasonal trends are more predictable than you might think. Here’s what we’ve discovered based on Bitcoin price seasonality analysis.

Bitcoin Price Seasonality 2020-2024 — Recent Trends

What happened to BTC in the last 5 years?
Take a look at what history says about the most recent price moves from 2020 to 2024.

📈 Big Wins:

📉 Tough Times:

🎄 Year-End Magic:

December 19th – Since 2020, there has been one consistently winning month which is October. Equally interesting is consistently strong behavior in the period January till March. This suggests that a ‘buy the dip’ opportunity may be underway.

bitcoin BTC seasonality chart 2020 2024
Bitcoin BTC seasonality chart between 2020 and 2024

Bitcoin Price Seasonality — Longer-Term Perspective

Look back to 2014 to see how Bitcoin behaved. Here’s what’s consistent:

🔥 February and October:

⚠️ August:

🌀 Mid-Year Volatility:

🎉 Year-end rally:

December 19th – When looking at the data set since 2014, the biggest winner of the year for BTC has proven to be February. It is the highest probability winning month. Essentially, in only one out of 10 years did February not close higher than where it started.

bitcoin BTC seasonality chart 2016 2024
Bitcoin BTC seasonality chart between 2016 and 2024

The Key Takeaways: What’s Next for Bitcoin in 2025?

Ready to make some smart moves in 2025? Based on past trends, here’s what to keep in mind:

Best months for gains:
Keep your eyes on February for potential big moves. Buy the dip in December and January?

Watch out for August:
The historically weakest month seems to be August, these are periods of increased risk. Volatility is king here.

Mid-year hot summer:
The month of July tends to be hot for BTC.

Year-end boom:
Position accordingly during seasonally weak months August & September because October tends to be great while a year-end rally is very often a reasonably high probability outcome (with peaks in the period Oct through Dec).

Bonus tip

If you’re diving into Bitcoin for the first time or are a seasoned trader, keeping an eye on seasonality trends can help you avoid the rollercoaster and optimize your positions. Now that you know the months to watch, the next move is yours. Are you ready?

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