Solana (SOL) is experiencing a decline amid bearish technical patterns and increased token supply, yet analysts project a potential rebound by the end of 2025.
As of June 2, 2025, Solana (SOL) is trading at approximately $153.06, marking a 2% decline over the past 24 hours. Despite this short-term dip, SOL maintains its position as the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.
Technical Indicators Suggest Potential Rebound
Recent technical analyses indicate that SOL is hovering near a critical support zone between $150 and $165. The narrowing of Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart suggests reduced volatility, often a precursor to significant price movements.
A decisive break above the $172.60–$175 resistance range could pave the way for a rally towards $180 and potentially $184, aligning with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
Fundamental Strength Amid Token Unlocks
Solana’s network fundamentals remain robust, characterized by high throughput and low transaction costs. These attributes have contributed to its resilience in the competitive blockchain landscape.
However, the market is also contending with the implications of recent token unlocks. Notably, on March 1, 2025, approximately 11.2 million SOL tokens, valued at over $2 billion, were unlocked as part of the FTX estate liquidation.
This event introduced additional supply into the market, potentially exerting downward pressure on prices.
Diverse Market Predictions
Looking ahead, market predictions for SOL are varied. Investment firm VanEck projects that SOL could reach $520 by the end of 2025, citing factors such as Solana’s expanding market share in the smart contract platform sector and favorable macroeconomic conditions.
Conversely, some analysts express caution, pointing to potential declines to $120 or even below $100, especially if selling pressure from token unlocks persists.
Conclusion
While Solana faces short-term challenges, including recent price declines and token unlocks, its strong network fundamentals and positive technical indicators suggest potential for a bullish reversal.
Investors should closely monitor support and resistance levels, as well as broader market trends, to assess SOL’s trajectory in the coming months.
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