Three indicators confirm crypto alt season 2025 started on November 9th: crypto total market cap excl. BTC and ETH breaks out, Dogecoin clears its 50% Fibonacci level, the USD remains below 107 points.
RELATED – DOGE prediction for 2025
In this article, we review 3 out of the 4 indicators that are screaming ALT SEASON 2025 is here.
Interestingly, the 4th indicator is testing a breakout, so it might be a matter of hours or days until all alt season 2025 confirmations are in!
Alt season 2025 – total market cap excl. BTC/ETH
First alt season indicator – total crypto market cap excl. leading indicators BTC/ETH.
This indicator matters simply because it excludes Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). That’s because the two largest cryptocurrencies are great leading indicators, but tend to move slower when alts accelerate their move (typically at the start of alt season).
As seen below, we accurately predicted the start of alt season 2024 late January 2024, see chart below.
- In the period Aug/Sept, the ‘alt season 2024’ point was back tested – this level did hold strong.
- With the breakout, a few days ago, of the 7-month falling trendline, the market confirmed the start of alt season 2025.
This crypto market breakout has legs. The first two targets are shown on the chart. That’s quite some upside potential before alt season 2025 gets back to its 2021 highs (where the breakout process to ATH will start).
Alt season 2025 – DOGE clears key Fibonacci level
The second indicator is Dogecoin (DOGE), the ultimate alt season barometer. It is now above its most important Fibonacci level, since Nov 9th, 2024, confirming alt season 2025.
We have been repeating the importance of the 50% Fibonacci level throughout all our writings since many years.
Dogecoin is clearing, convincingly, its 50% Fibonacci level, around Nov 9th, 2024.
The message is loud and clear – Dogecoin, the ultimate bullish momentum barometer among all altcoins, is starting a new bullish wave. This is the most convincing alt season 2025 signal.
Alt season 2025 – US Dollar below key Fibonacci level
The third indicator is an external one – the US Dollar, inversely correlated to crypto markets, is unable to clear its 50% Fibonacci level (so far, at least) – this raises confidence in the alt season indicators outlined above.
The US Dollar is inversely correlated to Bitcoin and altcoins.
The USD chart makes it clear – it may have bounced in October, but the bounce happened from oversold levels.
Once the USD clears 107 points, it will turn bullish. Given this current chart setup, it seems a rather low probability for the USD to turn bullish. Until the USD turns bullish, crypto can move much higher.
SHIB – the last indicator testing a breakout
The 4th (and last) indicator confirming a new alt season is Shiba, the 2nd largest meme, which ideally also confirms a breakout.
RELATED – SHIB prediction 2025
Shiba Inu (SHIB) did not breakout yet.
It is right now testing its 50% Fibonacci level.
Arguably, its chart suggests that it’s a matter of time, either hours or days, until SHIB clears THE most important Fibonacci level which is $.00002345.
If and when SHIB moves above this level, it will be the final indicator confirming the new bullish trend in alts.
Conclusion
It’s crystal clear – alts started a new bullish wave.
This new alt season has legs, and will not peak before June 2025 is our thesis.
Premium crypto members were alerted ahead of the breakout – most of our token tips alts have risen between 30 to 200% since our recommended entries.
