ETH is trading slightly above $4,470 in a $4,300 to $4,500 range. ETF flows and upcoming U.S. macro prints will decide the next directional leg.
As of September 3, 2025, Ether trades around $4,470, after a recent pullback from late August highs.
The market now sits between $4,300 support and roughly $4,500 resistance, making short-term Ethereum price outlook and direction sensitive to flows and macro prints this week ahead.
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Bull Case: Daily Close Above $4,500
A clean daily close above $4,500 on rising spot volume would open a constructive path toward $4,700 to $4,950, with $5,000 as a psychological target. August ETF flows provide proof of demand, with one tracker reporting $1.08B in spot ETH ETF inflows between August 25 and 29, the fourth-largest weekly total.
Deribit analytics show ETH 25-delta skew less tilted toward puts than BTC, implying options traders carry a bearish bias. Positive but modest perpetual funding across major venues suggests leverage on longs remains sustainable for continued upside.
If price cannot close above $4,500 with rising volume, the bullish case fails.
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Bear Case: Slip Under $4,300
A decisive break below $4,300 on heavy volume would tilt the tape toward $4,260 to $4,200 as the next visible demand area. ETF flows reversing to net outflows would amplify selling pressure, especially if weekly creation data turns negative after August inflows.
Options markets would confirm stress if 25-delta risk reversal flips toward puts and short-tenor implied volatility jumps, signaling hedging and higher tail risk.
Perpetual funding turning negative and open interest dropping would accelerate de-risking, opening measured moves to $3,800 and then $3,600.
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What To Watch (Next Two Weeks)
Key macro catalysts include U.S. nonfarm payrolls on Sep 5, CPI on Sep 11, and the FOMC meeting on Sep 16 and 17, any print that surprises can swing risk appetite.
At the market level, watch daily spot ETF creations and redemptions, Deribit 25-delta skew shifts, and funding rates for confirmation of flow-driven moves. Also track open interest changes daily.
You can also check out InvestingHaven’s Ethereum price prediction in 2025 and beyond for a more long-term outlook.
ALSO READ: Ethereum Price Prediction: Tom Lee Makes The Case For $30,000 ETH
Conclusion
ETH sits coiled between $4,300 and $4,500. A confirmed break will align with spot ETF flows and U.S. macro prints. Trade confirmation only, control size and use tight stops today.
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