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Home » Crypto & Blockchain » What Would a Declining ISM Manufacturing PMI Mean For The Crypto Industry?

What Would a Declining ISM Manufacturing PMI Mean For The Crypto Industry?

Exploring how weakening industrial data could impact crypto markets, investor sentiment, and risk appetite.

Sam Ralph by Sam Ralph
May 9, 2025
in Crypto & Blockchain
What Would a Declining ISM Manufacturing PMI Mean For The Crypto Industry?
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This week, the ISM manufacturing PMI came in below expectations. We will tell you what this means for the crypto industry and look at the reaction of different coins.

The ISM Manufacturing PMI is a monthly economic indicator that measures the performance of the US manufacturing sector. 

Typically, a reading above 50 indicates an expansion of manufacturing activity in the country. A reading below 50, on the other hand, implies a contracting sector.

Crypto 1

For the month of April, the PMI reading was 48.7%, which is 0.3 percentage points below March reading. It also represents the second consecutive month of contraction and the lowest reading in 5 months, implying growing negative sentiment towards the business environment in the country. 

This, in turn, triggers a risk off sentiment and liquidity flee from risk assets like cryptos toward safe haven assets like gold.

How Did the Crypto Market React to April PMI Readings? 

Though negative, the PMI reading didn’t have any tangible impact in the large crypto industry. In fact, the larger crypto market cap rallied by about 2%, adding $60 Billion to help it climb back above $3 Trillion. The fear and grid index also remained neutral at 51.

Crypto 2

Top coins have also rallied unbothered by the PMI readings. Bitcoin, for example, jumped by 3.6% to hit an intraday high of $97,437. Ethereum followed suit and rallied by more than 10% in the day – jumping from an intraday low of $1700 to peak around $1872.

How Did Gold React to Contracting ISM Manufacturing PMI Reading?

Unlike cryptos that have been surging, gold continued consolidating with drop in value. At the time of writing, the precious metal is trading around $3,337, which is a 4.6% drop from the all-time high of $3,500 set earlier in the month.  

Crypto 3

However, we cannot wholly attribute gold’s disappointing price performance to the contracting PMI readings. In fact, we would have expected the safe haven asset to hint at a rebound on the news of a contracting manufacturing industry. 

The most likely explanation for gold’s diminishing value is that it has entered a consolidation phase after months of sustained bullishness.

Bottom line

A declining ISM Manufacturing PMI typically signals weakening economic conditions, which can trigger risk-off sentiment and pressure risk assets like crypto. 

However, the April data had little negative impact—crypto prices rallied, showing growing market resilience and decoupling from traditional macro fears.

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Tags: Cryptocurrency
Sam Ralph

Sam Ralph

Sam Ralph is a financial writer and researcher with over 10 years of market experience. Specializing in tracker funds and cryptocurrency, he combines disciplined research with actionable insights, helping investors navigate markets confidently. Sam's expertise simplifies complex financial topics, empowering readers to make informed investment decisions.

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