Investing
Haven
No Result
View All Result
Wednesday, April 21, 2021
  • Login
  • Premium Services & Login
  • 2021 Forecasts
  • Commodities & Gold
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Mission 2026
Crypto investing >>
Investing
Haven
  • Premium Services & Login
  • 2021 Forecasts
  • Commodities & Gold
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Mission 2026
No Result
View All Result
Investing Haven
No Result
View All Result

Crash Indicator VIX Eager To Create Damage In The Short To Medium Term

by Taki Tsaklanos
February 28, 2021
in Markets & Stocks
0
Tags: VIX
bear market
2.5k
VIEWS
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

Yes, stocks did phenomenally well in the period November-January. Yes, the music stops playing at a certain point. More importantly, we saw ‘momentum implosion’ in the last 3 weeks, and Tesla’s decline illustrates our point. Momentum is gone for a while, unclear for how long. If anything, crash indicator VIX is eager to introduce bearish momentum in March before bullish momentum picks up again in April/May. This is a short to medium term 2021 market forecast, and it certainly doesn’t invalidate our long term bullish DJ stocks forecast for 2021.

We do realize we had a several warning sign coming out of the USD and VIX charts at the end of February. The subsequent damage in stock indexes was a laughable 4%, and the recovery took 72h to complete. There was an exceptionally strong ‘buy the dip’ reaction from the market. We did document this inĀ It’s Official: The Weakest Sell-off In History Is A Fact, backed up by data.

However, this time may be different … or, last month may have been different, as the ‘buy the dip’ was truly exceptional. In historic terms, the softest sell-off ever on the wildest swing in VIX ever!

So in other words the VIX setup we see on below chart is once more very solid. Bullish VIX implies bearish stocks. This is happening at a time leading indices show a short to medium term topping pattern.

The grey area is the one in which VIX can create damage.

VIX crash indicator

But wait a second, didn’t we say here on the same blog just one week ago thatĀ Stocks Will Be Uber Bullish In 2021 Because Of This Monster Breakdown In Treasuries?

Yes we did, and Treasuries did exaggerate since then.

What a difference one week can make, right.

The Treasuries chart accelerated its move lower, but went in overdrive. It found ‘support’ at its multi-decade median line. The big wick on the last weekly candle on below chart is over the top, and it is likely supporting evidence of a weakening stock market, when combined with the VIX chart.

We believe March will be volatile, and next week we will see if the ‘buy the dip’ will occur or not. We have serious doubts!

treasuries forecast

 

Enjoying our work? We invest in broad stocks as wel as commodities in ourĀ Momentum Investing portfolio. In ourĀ Trade Alerts premium serviceĀ we focus on SPX trading in the short term. Next to SPX trading we take a few swing trades per year. In 2020 the combined portfolio delivered +93%. Results are tracked in our trade log books, and publicly shared every 6 months on ourĀ Mission 2026Ā page.Ā 

 

  premium service trade alerts   premium service trade alerts   premium service crypto teaser  
Taki Tsaklanos

Taki Tsaklanos

Taki has +15 years of experience in global markets. His methodology is unique and effective, yet easy to understand; it is based on chart analysis combined with intermarket / fundamental / sentiment analysis. His work appeared on major financial outlets like FinancialSense, MarketWatch, ... Email: taki.tsaklanos@gmail.com. Twitter: twitter.com/investinghaven

  • Trending
  • Comments
  • Latest
silver prices

A Silver Price Forecast For 2021 *Silver 30 USD Underway*

January 2, 2021
gold price

A Gold Price Forecast For 2021 *Gold 2200 USD Underway*

January 2, 2021
dow jones

A Dow Jones Forecast For 2021 *New All Time Highs*

January 2, 2021
dow jones

Dow Jones Long Term Chart on 20 Years *10 Must See Charts*

October 26, 2020
technology stocks

In Hindsight Insights: Nasdaq’s Retracement In March Was Really Violent

0

Protected: [Emerging Markets/Gold/Silver] Heads up Template

0

Protected: [SPY] Heads up Template

0

Protected: [GOLD] Buy Alert Template

0
technology stocks

In Hindsight Insights: Nasdaq’s Retracement In March Was Really Violent

April 18, 2021
btc bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Brutal Decline Was A Test Of Its Rising Trend Channel … For Now

April 18, 2021
bear market

Gold: Will The Tactical Bear Win Or The Secular Bull Market?

April 18, 2021
euro

Leading Global Risk Indicator Trying To Turn Bullish In April

April 18, 2021

Connect with InvestingHaven

Receive top notch forecasts for free.

*We hate spam as you do.

Categories

  • Premium Services & Login
  • 2021 Forecasts
  • Commodities & Gold
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Mission 2026

Site Navigation

  • RSS Feed
  • About us
  • Sitemap
  • Privacy & Disclaimer
  • Terms of Service
  • Contact Us
Investing
Haven

Top notch forecasting with gold price forecast, many stock predictions, cryptocurrency charts. Many investing tips and crypto market analysis.

Copyright Ā© 2021 Investing Haven

No Result
View All Result
  • Premium Services & Login
  • Premium Investing Service
  • Premium Trading Service
  • Premium Crypto Service
  • 2021 Forecasts
  • Markets & Stocks
  • Commodities & Gold
  • Crypto Markets
  • Mission 2026

Copyright Ā© 2021 Investing Haven

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Fill the forms bellow to register

All fields are required. Log In

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In